Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,558$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(436 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,309.4}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 43.7)}}\) (asimptote \(7,309.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $494$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(84.3 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{464.1}{1 + 10^{-0.078 (t - 23.6)}}\) (asimptote \(464.1\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,518$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(122 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.5}{1 + 10^{-0.102 (t - 15.3)}}\) (asimptote \(334.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(4.18 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.7}{1 + 10^{-0.086 (t - 11.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $937$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(49.6 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,936.4}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 124.1)}}\) (asimptote \(58,936.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $39$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(7.83 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{37.1}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(37.1\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $768$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,910$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(450 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,540.6}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 36.8)}}\) (asimptote \(6,540.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $186$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(44.7 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{177.3}{1 + 10^{-0.067 (t - 18.5)}}\) (asimptote \(177.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,263$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,964$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(355 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{19,371.8}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 59.9)}}\) (asimptote \(19,371.8\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $514$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(49.3 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{625.4}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 34.6)}}\) (asimptote \(625.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,448$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,274$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(253 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,924.1}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 34.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,924.1\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $108$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(6.56 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{307.7}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 49.6)}}\) (asimptote \(307.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $934$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,032$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(222 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,008.5}{1 + 10^{-0.062 (t - 23.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,008.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $45$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(13 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42.2}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 16.1)}}\) (asimptote \(42.2\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $327$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $661$ on 2020-05-09
Best fit exponential: \(6.3 \times 10^{0.039t}\) (doubling rate \(7.7\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $8$ on 2020-05-09
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $543$ on 2020-05-09
